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What Happens When STRC And SATA Fall Below $100?
Bitcoin Balance Sheet #057
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What It Means for Treasury Preferred Equity When STRC and SATA Trade Below Par
Both Strategy’s STRC and Strive’s SATA preferred securities have recently traded below their $100 par values, raising questions about treasury preferred equity as a sustainable funding mechanism.
While STRC has recovered to par, SATA currently trades at $89, which translates to an 11% discount that the company must navigate as it continues to offer preferred equity issuance.
The challenge of sub-par pricing affects any treasury company using preferred equity, regardless of size. STRC traded below $100 recently, and Strategy responded by issuing zero preferred equity — across STRC, STRK, STRF, or STRD — for two consecutive weeks despite holding over $20 billion in shelf capacity. Instead, the company relied entirely on common stock despite favorable 0.96x mNAV pricing.
To understand the hesitation, let’s look at the math.
If a company issues preferreds at $95 when par is $100, it receives $95 million in proceeds but commits to dividends calculated on $100 par value. For STRC’s 10% yield, that means $10 million annually on $95 million received, or a 10.53% effective cost of capital rather than the stated 10%.
Strive’s figures tell a similar story. The company recently raised $225 million in SATA — upsized from $150 million after receiving a staggering $600 million in orders — yet the security now trades at $89.
Issuing preferred equity at $89 receives $89 million in proceeds but commits to perpetual dividends based on $100 par value. For SATA, that's $12.25 million annually on $89 million received — 13.76% effective cost of capital rather than the marketed 12.25%. Basically, the spread between Bitcoin’s expected returns and the true cost of capital narrows uncomfortably.
These economics force difficult decisions. Issue at below-par prices and accept higher effective costs, or pause issuance and potentially miss attractive opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin at favorable entry prices.
Let’s compare this to common stock economics. Strive’s ASST trades at 0.57x mNAV (46% discount) while SATA trades at $89 (11% discount to par). Both create immediate losses relative to the value received by an investor. However, common stock carries no perpetual obligations while preferred equity locks in annual dividend commitments regardless of Bitcoin’s future price action or the company’s circumstances.
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Can It Recover?
STRC’s return to $100 demonstrates that sub-par pricing can quickly reverse.
While the security traded below par, Strategy paused issuance, and markets eventually repriced STRC back to par. Whether this pattern can come true for SATA, or whether the 11% discount persists, will provide an important data point on how different preferred structures and company profiles affect secondary market pricing.
Several factors could explain pricing differences between securities at any given moment. For starters, market structure and liquidity matter. Established securities with broader holder bases may sustain tighter trading ranges than newer offerings.
Time in the market could also play a role. STRC benefits from Strategy issuing Bitcoin-backed instruments across multiple market environments, while SATA continues to operate as a newer instrument. Yield spreads reflect risk assessments that markets continuously update.
Track treasury preferred equity pricing in real-time on our live dashboard: monitor STRC, SATA, and other digital credit securities' trading patterns, effective yields, and how sub-par pricing affects treasury companies' capital structure decisions.
Why Pricing Diverges
The $11 gap between STRC ($100) and SATA ($89) — despite SATA offering 225 basis points higher yield — reflects several dynamics.
First, scale provides natural advantages. Strategy’s $41 billion market cap and established institutional relationships support liquidity and price stability that newer, smaller preferred offerings may take time to develop. Additionally, market structure matters. Thin trading volumes in any newly issued security can create volatility that is disconnected from underlying fundamentals.
Where both companies differed was in their responses to below-par trading. For Strategy, the move was straightforward: stop issuing preferred equity. The company shifted entirely to common stock during this period, accepting 4% dilution at 0.96x mNAV rather than issuing STRC at potential discounts to par.
Strive’s response emphasizes structural resilience over secondary pricing concerns.
"We purposefully built our preferred-only amplification structure to handle Bitcoin's volatility and ride out drawdowns," Strive told BitcoinTreasuries.net. “With over a year's cash for SATA dividends and over 17 years of potential interest coverage from Bitcoin holdings, Strive views the structure as sustainable regardless of where SATA trades day-to-day.”
"We're well capitalized, our thesis is unchanged, and we remain focused on long-term Bitcoin per share growth," management said. "Our decisions have and will continue to be disciplined and driven by our focus on maximizing long-term shareholder value, not reacting to short-term price action."
The contrasting approaches — Strategy pausing until pricing recovers, Strive emphasizing conviction in structural soundness — reflect different philosophies about preferred equity's role. Both strategies have merit depending on circumstances, time horizons, and capital alternatives available.
Follow treasury capital structure evolution on our live dashboard: compare companies using preferred equity, common stock dilution, or mining-based accumulation, and see which funding models prove most sustainable across Bitcoin's market cycles.
Inherent Challenges
The recent sub-par pricing affecting both STRC and SATA highlights challenges inherent in treasury preferred equity regardless of the quality of their execution strategies.
By promising fixed yields on perpetual obligations, these securities are inherently sensitive to market conditions, interest rate environments, and perceived credit risk in ways that common stock avoids.
When Bitcoin crashed to $60,000 from $88,000, both companies' preferred securities came under pressure — which was hardly surprising given the underlying asset’s 31% decline. That STRC has recovered to par while SATA remains at $89 could reflect numerous factors, including timing, liquidity, holder composition, or simply where each security sits in its price discovery journey.
The more important question is what happens next.
If STRC can sustain par pricing, Strategy regains the ability to issue preferred whenever management chooses, preserving non-dilutive amplification as a viable funding path. The company's recent pause suggests they'll only issue when pricing supports it, even if that means relying on common stock temporarily.
For Strive, the calculation differs. With a stated intention to "issue substantially more SATA over the next 12 months," the company must decide whether SATA at $89 represents temporary dislocation worth weathering, or whether issuance plans require adjustment.
Moreover, when securities trade below par shortly after oversubscribed offerings, it raises questions about primary-to-secondary market dynamics. Strong order books don't guarantee sustained pricing if buyers were seeking allocations rather than long-term positions.
Two structural questions persist. Can preferred equity scale as a sustainable treasury funding mechanism if secondary markets consistently price these securities below par? Or does favorable pricing require specific company characteristics — scale, institutional relationships, established shareholder bases — that limit the model's broader applicability?
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Orange Wheel Advisors. Orange Wheel Advisors is a strategic consulting firm that helps companies navigate Bitcoin’s impact on corporate finance and competitive strategy. With expertise spanning treasury management, payments, capital structure, mining, and investor communications, they provide executive education, tailored strategies, and execution support to guide businesses through the global monetary transition. Learn more: Orange Wheel Advisors
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Stacking Sats Inc. Official IT partner at BitcoinTreasuries, Stacking Sats Inc via its subsidiary, Framework IT, is a managed IT services firm with a 17-year track record of providing best-in-class IT support, strategy, and cybersecurity, boasting high recurring revenue and long-term client contracts. It’s also one of the top 20 holders of Bitcoin among global private companies. Learn more: Stacking Sats Inc
XCE. An executive recruitment group that combines a profitable recruitment business with a Bitcoin treasury strategy. The company turns over a decade of executive recruitment experience and four years of Bitcoin accumulation into a public Bitcoin‑powered growth engine, using a proven operating business to drive Bitcoin treasury accumulation. Learn more: XCE
Zaprite. Zaprite is a non-custodial payment platform that allows individuals and businesses to seamlessly accept both bitcoin (on-chain and lightning) and fiat payments in a unified, customizable checkout experience. Users can easily issue invoices, generate payment links, and connect multiple wallets or custodial accounts, all while handling their own funds directly. Learn more: Zaprite
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